政策不确定性与企业风险承担:机遇预期效应还是损失规避效应

被引:207
作者
刘志远 [1 ]
王存峰 [1 ]
彭涛 [2 ]
郭瑾 [1 ]
机构
[1] 南开大学商学院
[2] International School of Business & Finance, Sun Yat-sen University
关键词
经济政策不确定性; 企业风险承担; 风险承担代理问题; 股权结构;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F272.3 [经营决策];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
风险承担是经济政策不确定性影响企业行为的一条潜在渠道。基于1995-2014年中国A股上市公司数据,本文实证检验了经济政策不确定性对企业风险承担的影响。研究发现,经济政策不确定性显著提升了企业的风险承担;然而,该影响仅存在于非国有企业,但在国有企业中并不显著;同时,股权集中度显著削弱了经济政策不确定对企业风险承担的正向影响。进一步检验发现,股权集中度的负向调节作用在国有企业与非国有企业中均存在;特别是国有企业,在控制了股权集中因素之后,经济政策不确定性的影响也显著为正。上述结果表明,经济政策不确定性的"机遇预期效应"已在中国企业中发挥主导作用,而"风险承担代理问题"抑制经济政策不确定性的"机遇预期效应"。
引用
收藏
页码:15 / 27
页数:13
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