HINDSIGHT NOT EQUAL TO FORESIGHT - EFFECT OF OUTCOME KNOWLEDGE ON JUDGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY

被引:1336
作者
FISCHHOFF, B [1 ]
机构
[1] HEBREW UNIV,JERUSALEM,ISRAEL
关键词
D O I
10.1037/0096-1523.1.3.288
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:288 / 299
页数:12
相关论文
共 15 条
[11]  
TVERSKY A, 1971, PSYCHOL BULL, V76, P105, DOI 10.1037/h0031322
[12]   JUDGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY - HEURISTICS AND BIASES [J].
TVERSKY, A ;
KAHNEMAN, D .
SCIENCE, 1974, 185 (4157) :1124-1131
[13]   2ND GUESSING IMPORTANT EVENTS [J].
WALSTER, E .
HUMAN RELATIONS, 1967, 20 (03) :239-249
[14]  
Wohlstetter R, 1962, PEARL HARBOR WARNING
[15]  
[No title captured]