Effectiveness of farm policies on social and economic development in rural areas

被引:13
作者
Doyle, CJ [1 ]
Mitchell, M [1 ]
Topp, K [1 ]
机构
[1] Scottish Agr Coll, Dept Appl Econ & Agr Syst, Ayr KA7 3LJ, Scotland
关键词
economic impacts; rural areas; CAP reforms; Johansen models; multipliers;
D O I
10.1093/erae/24.3-4.530
中图分类号
F3 [农业经济];
学科分类号
0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;
摘要
A methodology for estimating the impact of agricultural support payments on both farm output and the wider economy at regional level is outlined and applied to one Scottish region. Using a Johansen-type model of the agriculture sector, the impact of support changes on agricultural output is forecast. A regional input-output matrix is derived and used to calculate income and employment multipliers for the main agricultural enterprises. Using these multipliers, forecasts of regional income and employment losses due to a partial reduction in agricultural support are made. Within the region, the spatial distribution of benefits is projected using a Gravity Model and mapped using a Geographic Information System.
引用
收藏
页码:530 / 546
页数:17
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