Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models

被引:1101
作者
Barndorff-Nielsen, OE
Shephard, N [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oxford Nuffield Coll, Oxford OX1 1NF, England
[2] Univ Aarhus, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
关键词
Kalman filter; leverage; Levy process; power variation; quadratic variation; quarticity; realized volatility; stochastic volatility; subordination; superposition;
D O I
10.1111/1467-9868.00336
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The availability of intraday data on the prices of speculative assets means that we can use quadratic variation-like measures of activity in financial markets, called realized volatility, to study the stochastic properties of returns. Here, under the assumption of a rather general stochastic volatility model, we derive the moments and the asymptotic distribution of the realized volatility error-the difference between realized volatility and the discretized integrated volatility (which we call actual volatility). These properties can be used to allow us to estimate the parameters of stochastic volatility models without recourse to the use of simulation-intensive methods.
引用
收藏
页码:253 / 280
页数:28
相关论文
共 54 条
[31]   Estimating stochastic differential equations efficiently by minimum chi-squared [J].
Gallant, AR ;
Long, JR .
BIOMETRIKA, 1997, 84 (01) :125-141
[32]   Stochastic volatility models as hidden Markov models and statistical applications [J].
Genon-Catalot, V ;
Jeantheau, T ;
Larédo, C .
BERNOULLI, 2000, 6 (06) :1051-1079
[33]  
GHYSELS E, 1996, HANDB STAT, V14, P119
[34]   INDIRECT INFERENCE [J].
GOURIEROUX, C ;
MONFORT, A ;
RENAULT, E .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 1993, 8 :S85-S118
[35]   LONG MEMORY RELATIONSHIPS AND THE AGGREGATION OF DYNAMIC-MODELS [J].
GRANGER, CWJ .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1980, 14 (02) :227-238
[36]  
Hamilton J. D., 1994, TIME SERIES ANAL
[37]  
Harvey A.C., 1989, Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter
[38]  
Hendry D.F., 1995, Dynamic Econometrics
[39]  
Hobson EW, 1927, The theory of functions of a real variable & the theory of Fourier's series
[40]   Stochastic volatility: Likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models [J].
Kim, S ;
Shephard, N ;
Chib, S .
REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, 1998, 65 (03) :361-393