Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide

被引：1387

作者：

Le Quere, Corinne ^{[1
,2
]}

Raupach, Michael R. ^{[3
]}

Canadell, Josep G. ^{[3
]}

Marland, Gregg ^{[4
]}

Bopp, Laurent ^{[5
]}

Ciais, Philippe ^{[5
]}

Conway, Thomas J. ^{[6
]}

Doney, Scott C. ^{[7
]}

Feely, Richard A. ^{[8
]}

Foster, Pru ^{[9
]}

Friedlingstein, Pierre ^{[5
,9
]}

Gurney, Kevin ^{[10
,11
]}

Houghton, Richard A. ^{[12
]}

House, Joanna I. ^{[9
]}

Huntingford, Chris ^{[13
]}

Levy, Peter E. ^{[14
]}

Lomas, Mark R. ^{[15
]}

Majkut, Joseph ^{[16
]}

Metzl, Nicolas ^{[17
]}

Ometto, Jean P. ^{[18
]}

Peters, Glen P. ^{[19
]}

Prentice, I. Colin ^{[9
]}

Randerson, James T. ^{[20
]}

Running, Steven W. ^{[21
]}

Sarmiento, Jorge L. ^{[16
]}

Schuster, Ute ^{[1
]}

Sitch, Stephen ^{[22
]}

Takahashi, Taro ^{[23
]}

Viovy, Nicolas ^{[5
]}

van der Werf, Guido R. ^{[24
]}

Woodward, F. Ian ^{[15
]}

机构：

[1] Univ E Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England

[2] British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge BC3 0ET, England

[3] CSIRO Marine & Atmospher Res, Global Carbon Project, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia

[4] Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Carbon Dioxide Informat Anal Ctr, Oak Ridge, TN 37831 USA

[5] UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm,UMR 1572, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France

[6] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO 80305 USA

[7] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA

[8] NOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, Seattle, WA 98115 USA

[9] Univ Bristol, Dept Earth Sci, QUEST, Bristol BS8 1RJ, Avon, England

[10] Purdue Univ, Dept Agron, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA

[11] Purdue Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA

[12] Woods Hole Res Ctr, Falmouth, MA 02540 USA

[13] Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Wallingford OX10 8BB, Oxon, England

[14] Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Penicuik EH26 0QB, Midlothian, Scotland

[15] Univ Sheffield, Dept Anim & Plant Sci, Sheffield S10 2TH, S Yorkshire, England

[16] Princeton Univ, AOS Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

[17] Univ Paris 06, Inst Pierre Simon Laplace, CNRS, LOCEAN IPSL, F-75252 Paris 5, France

[18] Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, BR-12227010 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, Brazil

[19] Ctr Int Climate & Environm Res Oslo, N-0318 Oslo, Norway

[20] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA

[21] Univ Montana, Sch Forestry, Numer Terradynam Simulat Grp, Missoula, MT 59812 USA

[22] Univ Leeds, Sch Geog, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England

[23] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, New York, NY 10964 USA

[24] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Fac Earth & Life Sci, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands

来源：

NATURE GEOSCIENCE | 2009年 / 2卷 / 12期

关键词：

ATMOSPHERIC CO2 GROWTH; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; INTERNATIONAL-TRADE; FIRE EMISSIONS; CLIMATE; DEFORESTATION; CYCLE; HISTORY; FLUX;

D O I：

10.1038/ngeo689

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Efforts to control climate change require the stabilization of atmospheric CO2 concentrations. This can only be achieved through a drastic reduction of global CO2 emissions. Yet fossil fuel emissions increased by 29% between 2000 and 2008, in conjunction with increased contributions from emerging economies, from the production and international trade of goods and services, and from the use of coal as a fuel source. In contrast, emissions from land-use changes were nearly constant. Between 1959 and 2008, 43% of each year's CO2 emissions remained in the atmosphere on average; the rest was absorbed by carbon sinks on land and in the oceans. In the past 50 years, the fraction of CO2 emissions that remains in the atmosphere each year has likely increased, from about 40% to 45%, and models suggest that this trend was caused by a decrease in the uptake of CO2 by the carbon sinks in response to climate change and variability. Changes in the CO2 sinks are highly uncertain, but they could have a significant influence on future atmospheric CO2 levels. It is therefore crucial to reduce the uncertainties.

引用

页码：831 / 836

页数：6

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