DO INDIVIDUAL INDEX FUTURES INVESTORS DESTABILIZE THE UNDERLYING SPOT MARKET?

被引:23
作者
Bohl, Martin T. [1 ]
Salm, Christian A. [1 ]
Wilfling, Bernd [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Munster, Dept Econ, D-48143 Munster, Germany
关键词
VOLATILITY; EFFICIENCY; IMPACT; RATES; NEWS;
D O I
10.1002/fut.20460
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This study investigates the impact of introducing index futures trading on the volatility of the underlying stock market We exploit a unique institutional setting in which presumably uninformed individuals are the dominant trader type in the futures markets I his enables us to investigate the destabilization hypothesis more accurately than previous studies do and to provide evidence for or against the influence of individuals trading in Index futures on spot market volatility To overcome econometric shortcomings of the existing literature we employ a Markov-switching-GARCH approach to endogenously identify distinct volatility regimes Our empirical evidence for Poland suggests that the introduction of index futures trading does not destabilize the spot market This finding is robust across three stock market indices and is corroborated by further analysis of a control group (C) 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc Jrl Fut Mark 31 81-101, 2011
引用
收藏
页码:81 / 101
页数:21
相关论文
共 37 条
[1]  
Antoniou A, 1998, J FUTURES MARKETS, V18, P151, DOI 10.1002/(SICI)1096-9934(199804)18:2<151::AID-FUT2>3.0.CO
[2]  
2-1
[3]  
Antoniou A., 2005, J EMPIR FINANC, V12, P219, DOI [DOI 10.1016/J.JEMPFIN.2003.11.003, 10.1016/j.jempfin.2003.11.003]
[4]   Futures trading, spot market volatility, and market efficiency: The case of the Korean index futures markets [J].
Bae, SC ;
Kwon, TH ;
Park, JW .
JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2004, 24 (12) :1195-1228
[5]   All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behavior of individual and institutional investors [J].
Barber, Brad M. ;
Odean, Terrance .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2008, 21 (02) :785-818
[6]   European Stock Markets and the ECB's Monetary Policy Surprises [J].
Bohl, Martin T. ;
Siklos, Pierre L. ;
Sondermann, David .
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE, 2008, 11 (02) :117-130
[7]   FUTURES TRADING, RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS, AND THE EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS [J].
BRAY, M .
ECONOMETRICA, 1981, 49 (03) :575-596
[8]   FINANCIAL FUTURES MARKETS - IS MORE REGULATION NEEDED [J].
CAGAN, P .
JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 1981, 1 (02) :169-189
[9]   Who underreacts to cash-flow news? evidence from trading between individuals and institutions [J].
Cohen, RB ;
Gompers, PA ;
Vuolteenaho, T .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2002, 66 (2-3) :409-462
[10]   TIME-VARIATION IN EXPECTED RETURNS [J].
CONRAD, J ;
KAUL, G .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS, 1988, 61 (04) :409-425