2010～2060年中国森林碳汇的时空动态及其调控策略（英文）

被引：36

作者：

蔡伟祥

何念鹏

李明旭

徐丽

王龙柱

朱建华

曾楠

闫镤

司国新

张小全

岑晓喻

于贵瑞

孙建新

机构：

[1] School of Ecology and Nature Conservation,Beijing Forestry University

[2] Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling,Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences

[3] College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences

[4] Center for Ecological Research,Northeast Forestry University

[5] Beijing Representative Office,the Nature Conservancy

[6] Institute of Forest Ecology,Environment and Protection,Chinese Academy of Forestry

来源：

Science Bulletin | 2022年 / 67卷 / 08期

关键词：

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

S718.55 [森林生态系统];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

造林是陆地生态系统吸收二氧化碳和增加碳汇最有效和生态友好的方式.本文假定在适宜造林土地上造林的条件下,利用森林固碳（FCS）模型和中国区域内3365块森林样地的调查数据,估算了中国现存森林和新造林2010～2060年在3种造林情景和3种气候情景下的固碳速率（CSR）.在不考虑极端事件和人为干扰的情况下,中国森林生态系统的平均CSR为0.358±0.016 Pg C a-1,植被和土壤碳库的CSR分别为0.211±0.016和0.147±0.005 Pg C a-1.现存森林约占整体CSR的93.5%,在2035年前后达到峰值,2035年以后总体呈下降趋势.2035年以后,需要有效的抚育管理来维持较高的CSR,如择伐、间伐等;而新造林在整体CSR增长中发挥很小的作用.总体来看,CSR在东北、西南和中南地区较高,在西北地区较低.2010～2060年期间,中国森林通过固碳可以抵消14.1%的人为碳排放.但是,要达到森林预期的固碳潜力,需要国家实施有效的现存森林管理策略和制定合适的造林政策.

引用

页码：836 / 843

页数：8

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