China's Optimal Industrial Structure:Theoretical Model and Econometric Estimation

被引：4

作者：

肖兴志 ^{[1
]}

彭宜钟 ^{[1
]}

李少林 ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Center for Industrial & Business Organization,DUFE

来源：

China Economist | 2014年 / 01期

关键词：

optimal industrial structure; optimal growth rate; stochastic discount factor;

D O I：

10.19602/j.chinaeconomist.2014.01.004

中图分类号：

F121.3 [产业结构]; F224 [经济数学方法];

学科分类号：

0201 ; 020105 ; 0701 ; 070104 ;

摘要：

With analysis of producer’s and factor supplier’s dual optimization motives,this paper developed an optimal nominal output growth rate model that can conduct quantified estimation.Result of estimation of China’s optimal industrial structure between1992 and 2009 indicates that optimal nominal output growth rate model has successfully quantified the impact of major events occurring in the process of China’s economic operation on the level of deviation between actual industrial structure and optimal industrial structure.Quantitative indicators involved in this model can provide industrial policy instruments for the Chinese government in developing and adjusting industrial structure targets,optimizing resource allocation and advancing industrial structure optimization and upgrade.

引用

页码：32 / 52

页数：21

共 6 条

[1] 技术选择、产业结构升级与经济增长 [J].

黄茂兴 ;

李军军 .

经济研究, 2009, 44 (07) :143-151

[2] 中国产业结构调整的效应、优化升级目标和政策措施 [J].

何德旭 ;

姚战琪 .

中国工业经济, 2008, (05) :46-56

[3] 中国省区三次产业资本存量估计 [J].

徐现祥 ;

周吉梅 ;

舒元 .

统计研究, 2007, (05) :6-13

[4] 产业结构变化的评价方法探析 [J].

李宝瑜 ;

高艳云 .

统计研究, 2005, (12) :65-67

[5] Capital deepening and nonbalanced economic growth [J].

Acemoglu, Daron ;

Guerrieri, Veronica .

JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 2008, 116 (03) :467-498

[6]

A model for technical inefficiency effects in a stochastic frontier production function for panel data[J] . G. E. Battese,T. J. Coelli.Empirical Economics . 1995 (2)

← 1 →