KNOWING WITH CERTAINTY - APPROPRIATENESS OF EXTREME CONFIDENCE

被引:666
作者
FISCHHOFF, B [1 ]
SLOVIC, P [1 ]
LICHTENSTEIN, S [1 ]
机构
[1] DECISION RES,EUGENE,OR 97401
关键词
D O I
10.1037/0096-1523.3.4.552
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:552 / 564
页数:13
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]  
Bartlett F. C, 1932, REMEMBERING
[2]   EYEWITNESS TESTIMONY [J].
BUCKHOUT, R .
SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN, 1974, 231 (06) :23-31
[3]  
Collins A, 1976, 3231 BOLT BER NEWM I
[4]  
Collins A., 1975, REPRESENTATION UNDER
[5]  
FISCHHOFF B, 1977, 771 DEC RES REP
[6]   BEST GUESS HYPOTHESIS IN MULTISTAGE INFERENCE [J].
GETTYS, CF ;
KELLY, C ;
PETERSON, CR .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1973, 10 (03) :364-373
[7]  
HARRIS RK, IN PRESS
[8]  
JOHNSONABERCROM.ML, 1960, ANATOMY JUDGMENT
[9]  
LICHTENSTEIN S, IN PRESS
[10]  
LICHTENSTEIN S, 1976, 762 DEC RES REP