WHAT DO PEOPLE KNOW ABOUT GLOBAL CLIMATE-CHANGE .1. MENTAL MODELS

被引:359
作者
BOSTROM, A [1 ]
MORGAN, MG [1 ]
FISCHHOFF, B [1 ]
READ, D [1 ]
机构
[1] CARNEGIE MELLON UNIV,DEPT ENGN & PUBL POLICY,PITTSBURGH,PA 15213
关键词
CLIMATE CHANGE; GLOBAL WARMING; MENTAL MODEL; RISK COMMUNICATION; DECISION MAKING;
D O I
10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00065.x
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
A set of exploratory studies and mental model interviews was conducted in order to characterize public understanding of climate change. In general, respondents regarded global warming as both bad and highly likely. Many believed that warming has already occurred. They tended to confuse stratospheric ozone depletion with the greenhouse effect and weather with climate. Automobile use, heat and emissions from industrial processes, aerosol spray cans, and pollution in general were frequently perceived as primary causes of global warming. Additionally, the ''greenhouse effect'' was often interpreted literally as the cause of a hot and steamy climate. The effects attributed to climate change often included increased skin cancer and changed agricultural yields. The mitigation and control strategies proposed by interviewees typically focused on general pollution control, with few specific links to carbon dioxide and energy use. Respondents appeared to be relatively unfamiliar with such regulatory developments as the ban on CFCs for nonessential uses. These beliefs must be considered by those designing risk communications or presenting climate-related policies to the public.
引用
收藏
页码:959 / 970
页数:12
相关论文
共 20 条
[1]   CHARACTERIZING MENTAL MODELS OF HAZARDOUS PROCESSES - A METHODOLOGY AND AN APPLICATION TO RADON [J].
BOSTROM, A ;
FISCHHOFF, B ;
MORGAN, MG .
JOURNAL OF SOCIAL ISSUES, 1992, 48 (04) :85-100
[2]  
*EOS, 1992, ENV OP STUD JUN 1991
[3]   RISK PERCEPTION AND COMMUNICATION [J].
FISCHHOFF, B ;
BOSTROM, A ;
QUADREL, MJ .
ANNUAL REVIEW OF PUBLIC HEALTH, 1993, 14 :183-203
[4]   LAY FOIBLES AND EXPERT FABLES IN JUDGMENTS ABOUT RISK [J].
FISCHHOFF, B ;
SLOVIC, P ;
LICHTENSTEIN, S .
AMERICAN STATISTICIAN, 1982, 36 (03) :240-255
[5]  
Gore A., 1992, EARTH BALANCE
[6]   PAPER VERSUS POLYSTYRENE - A COMPLEX CHOICE [J].
HOCKING, MB .
SCIENCE, 1991, 251 (4993) :504-505
[7]  
Howard R. A., 1984, PRINCIPLES APPLICATI, P719
[8]  
*INT GOV PAN CLIM, 1992, CLIM CHANG 1992 SUPP
[9]  
KEMPTON W, 1991, GLOBAL ENV CHANG JUN, P183
[10]   CLIMATE CHANGE PERCEPTIONS AND ENERGY-USE DECISIONS IN NORTHERN SWEDEN [J].
LOFSTEDT, RE .
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 1991, 1 (04) :321-324