CONSERVATISM IN A SIMPLE PROBABILITY INFERENCE TASK

被引:457
作者
PHILLIPS, LD
EDWARDS, W
机构
来源
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY | 1966年 / 72卷 / 03期
关键词
D O I
10.1037/h0023653
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:346 / &
相关论文
共 9 条
[1]  
BRYAN GL, HUMAN JUDGMENTS ED, P360
[2]   COSTS AND PAYOFFS ARE INSTRUCTIONS [J].
EDWARDS, W .
PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1961, 68 (04) :275-284
[3]   BAYESIAN STATISTICAL-INFERENCE FOR PSYCHOLOGICAL-RESEARCH [J].
EDWARDS, W ;
LINDMAN, H ;
SAVAGE, LJ .
PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1963, 70 (03) :193-242
[4]  
EDWARDS W, HUMAN JUDGMENTS OPTI, P360
[5]   SAMPLE-SIZE AND THE REVISION OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES [J].
PETERSON, CR ;
SCHNEIDER, RJ ;
MILLER, AJ .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1965, 69 (05) :522-527
[6]   SENSITIVITY OF SUBJECTIVE-PROBABILITY REVISION [J].
PETERSON, CR ;
MILLER, AJ .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1965, 70 (01) :117-121
[7]  
PHILLIPS LD, 1966, IEEE T HUMAN FACTORS, VHFE7, P7
[8]  
TODA M, 3 PENNS STAT COLL I
[9]   A SCALE FOR THE MEASUREMENT OF SUBJECTIVE-PROBABILITY [J].
VANNAERSSEN, RF .
ACTA PSYCHOLOGICA, 1962, 20 (02) :159-166