The probability weighting function

被引:1142
作者
Prelec, D [1 ]
机构
[1] MIT, Alfred P Sloan Sch Management, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
关键词
expected utility theory; non-expected utility theory; prospect theory; Allais paradox;
D O I
10.2307/2998573
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
A probability weighting function w(p) is a prominent feature of several non-expected utility theories, including prospect theory and rank-dependent models. Empirical estimates indicate that w(p) is regressive (first w(p)>p, then w(p)<p), s-shaped (first concave, then convex), and asymmetrical (intersecting the diagonal at about 1/3). The paper states axioms for several w(p) forms, including the compound invariant, w(p)= exp{-{-ln p}(alpha)}, 0 < alpha < 1, which is regressive, s-shaped, and with an invariant fixed point and inflection point at 1/e = .37.
引用
收藏
页码:497 / 527
页数:31
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