SRISK: A Conditional Capital Shortfall Measure of Systemic Risk

被引:825
作者
Brownlees, Christian [1 ,2 ]
Engle, Robert F. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Pompeu Fabra, Dept Econ & Business, Barcelona, Spain
[2] Barcelona GSE, Barcelona, Spain
[3] NYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Finance, New York, NY 10003 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
HETEROSKEDASTICITY; CONNECTEDNESS; VOLATILITY; STRESS; MODELS; COSTS;
D O I
10.1093/rfs/hhw060
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We introduce SRISK to measure the systemic risk contribution of a financial firm. SRISK measures the capital shortfall of a firm conditional on a severe market decline, and is a function of its size, leverage and risk. We use the measure to study top financial institutions in the recent financial crisis. SRISK delivers useful rankings of systemic institutions at various stages of the crisis and identifies Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Morgan Stanley, Bear Stearns, and Lehman Brothers as top contributors as early as 2005-Q1. Moreover, aggregate SRISK provides early warning signals of distress in indicators of real activity.
引用
收藏
页码:48 / 79
页数:32
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