Southern Ocean warming due to human influence

被引:42
作者
Fyfe, John C. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Victoria, Environm Canada, Canadian Ctr Climate Modelling & Anal, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2006GL027247
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
I show that the latest series of climate models reproduce the observed mid-depth Southern Ocean warming since the 1950s if they include time-varying changes in anthropogenic greenhouse gases, sulphate aerosols and volcanic aerosols in the Earth's atmosphere. The remarkable agreement between observations and state-of-the art climate models suggests significant human influence on Southern Ocean temperatures. I also show that climate models that do not include volcanic aerosols produce mid-depth Southern Ocean warming that is nearly double that produced by climate models that do include volcanic aerosols. This implies that the full effect of human-induced warming of the Southern Ocean may yet to be realized.
引用
收藏
页数:4
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]  
Antonov JI, 2005, GEOPHYS RES LETT, V32, DOI 10.1029/2005GL023112
[2]   Penetration of human-induced warming into the world's oceans [J].
Barnett, TP ;
Pierce, DW ;
AchutaRao, KM ;
Gleckler, PJ ;
Santer, BD ;
Gregory, JM ;
Washington, WM .
SCIENCE, 2005, 309 (5732) :284-287
[3]   Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the world's oceans [J].
Barnett, TP ;
Pierce, DW ;
Schnur, R .
SCIENCE, 2001, 292 (5515) :270-274
[4]   Significant decadal-scale impact of volcanic eruptions on sea level and ocean heat content [J].
Church, JA ;
White, NJ ;
Arblaster, JM .
NATURE, 2005, 438 (7064) :74-77
[5]   The impact of aerosols on simulated ocean temperature and heat content in the 20th century [J].
Delworth, TL ;
Ramaswamy, V ;
Stenchikov, GL .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2005, 32 (24) :1-4
[6]  
Fyfe J.C., 2006, GEOPHYS RES LETT, V33, DOI [10.1029/2005GL024464, DOI 10.1029/2005GL024464]
[7]   Warming of the Southern Ocean since the 1950s [J].
Gille, ST .
SCIENCE, 2002, 295 (5558) :1275-1277
[8]   Krakatoa's signature persists in the ocean [J].
Gleckler, PJ ;
Wigley, TML ;
Santer, BD ;
Gregory, JM ;
AchutaRao, K ;
Taylor, KE .
NATURE, 2006, 439 (7077) :675-675
[9]   Ocean science - Warming the world's oceans [J].
Hegerl, GC ;
Bindoff, NL .
SCIENCE, 2005, 309 (5732) :254-255
[10]   Warming of the world ocean [J].
Levitus, S ;
Antonov, JI ;
Boyer, TP ;
Stephens, C .
SCIENCE, 2000, 287 (5461) :2225-2229