Uniformly least powerful tests of market efficiency

被引:366
作者
Loughran, T
Ritter, JR [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Florida, Dept Finance, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
[2] Univ Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA
关键词
market efficiency; anomalies; new issues puzzle; risk factors;
D O I
10.1016/S0304-405X(99)00054-9
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Defenders of market efficiency argue that anomalies involving long-term abnormal returns are not robust to alternative methodologies. We argue that because various methodologies use different weighting schemes, the magnitude of abnormal returns should differ, and in a predictable manner. Three problems are identified that cause low power in value-weighted three-factor time series regressions when abnormal returns following managerial actions are being estimated. We illustrate the sensitivities in the context of the new issues puzzle as well as with simulations. More generally, multifactor models as currently used do not, and cannot, test market efficiency. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved. JEL classification: G12; G14.
引用
收藏
页码:361 / 389
页数:29
相关论文
共 25 条
[1]  
BANZ RW, 1986, J FINANC, V41, P779
[2]   Detecting long-run abnormal stock returns: The empirical power and specification of test statistics [J].
Barber, BM ;
Lyon, JD .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 1997, 43 (03) :341-372
[3]   Myth or reality? The long-run underperformance of initial public offerings: Evidence from venture and nonventure capital-backed companies [J].
Brav, A ;
Gompers, PA .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1997, 52 (05) :1791-1821
[4]  
BRAV A, 1999, IN PRESS J FINANCIAL
[5]  
BRAV A, 1998, UNPUB INFERENCE LONG
[6]  
Campbell J., 1997, The econometrics of financial markets
[7]  
ECKBO BE, 1999, IN PRESS J FINANCIAL
[8]   Multifactor portfolio efficiency and multifactor asset pricing [J].
Fama, EF .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, 1996, 31 (04) :441-465
[9]   Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance [J].
Fama, EF .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 1998, 49 (03) :283-306
[10]   COMMON RISK-FACTORS IN THE RETURNS ON STOCKS AND BONDS [J].
FAMA, EF ;
FRENCH, KR .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 1993, 33 (01) :3-56