Term structures of asset prices and returns

被引:30
作者
Backus, David
Boyarchenko, Nina [1 ]
Chernov, Mikhail [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Bank New York, 33 Liberty St, New York, NY 10045 USA
[2] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Anderson Sch Management, NBER, 101 Westwood Plaza, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
[3] CEPR, 101 Westwood Plaza, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
关键词
Entropy; Coentropy; Term structure; Yields; Excess returns; Affine models; Recursive preferences; Disasters; CROSS-SECTION; LONG-RUN; EQUITY PREMIUM; RARE DISASTERS; STOCK RETURNS; RISK PREMIA; CONSUMPTION; MODELS; BOND; EXPLANATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.04.005
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows, namely, US government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). The average term structures reflect the dynamics of the dollar pricing kernel, cash flow growth, and the interaction between the two. We use an affine model to illustrate how these two components can deliver term structures with a wide range of levels and shapes. Finally, we calibrate a representative agent economy to show that the evidence is consistent with the equilibrium models. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 23
页数:23
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