An equilibrium model of "Global Imbalances" and low interest rates

被引:627
作者
Caballero, Ricardo J. [1 ,2 ]
Farhi, Emmanuel [2 ,3 ]
Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier [2 ,4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] MIT, Dept Econ, Cambridge, MA 02142 USA
[2] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Harvard Univ, Dept Econ, Littauer Ctr, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[4] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Econ, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
[5] CEPR, Washington, DC USA
关键词
D O I
10.1257/aer.98.1.358
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The sustained rise in US current account deficits, the stubborn decline in long-run real rates, and the rise in US assets in global portfolios appear as anomalies from the perspective of conventional models. This paper rationalizes these facts as an equilibrium outcome when different regions of the world differ in their capacity to generate financial assets from real investments. Extensions of the basic model generate exchange rate and foreign direct investment excess returns broadly consistent with the recent trends in these variables. The framework is flexible enough to shed light on a range of scenarios in a global equilibrium environment.
引用
收藏
页码:358 / 393
页数:36
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