Loan growth and riskiness of banks

被引:334
作者
Foos, Daniel [2 ]
Norden, Lars [1 ]
Weber, Martin [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Erasmus Univ, Rotterdam Sch Management, Dept Finance, NL-3000 DR Rotterdam, Netherlands
[2] Univ Mannheim, Dept Banking & Finance, D-68131 Mannheim, Germany
[3] Ctr Econ Policy Res, London SW1Y 6LA, England
关键词
Bank lending; Credit risk; Loan losses; Bank profitability; Bank solvency; PANEL-DATA MODELS; LENDING BOOMS; CREDIT RISK; INFORMATION; INDICATORS; ESTIMATORS; FRAGILITY; BEHAVIOR; MARKET; BIAS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.06.007
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We investigate whether loan growth affects the riskiness of individual banks in 16 major countries. Using Bankscope data from more than 16,000 individual banks during 1997-2007, we test three hypotheses on the relation between abnormal loan growth and asset risk, bank profitability, and bank solvency. We find that loan growth leads to an increase in loan loss provisions during the subsequent three years, to a decrease in relative interest income, and to lower capital ratios. Further analyses show that loan growth also has a negative impact on the risk-adjusted interest income. These results suggest that loan growth represents an important driver of the riskiness of banks. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2929 / 2940
页数:12
相关论文
共 32 条
[1]   THE DISTRIBUTED LAG BETWEEN CAPITAL APPROPRIATIONS AND EXPENDITURES [J].
ALMON, S .
ECONOMETRICA, 1965, 33 (01) :178-196
[2]  
[Anonymous], 08106 IMF
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1992, EC REV FEDERAL RESER
[4]   The institutional memory hypothesis and the procyclicality of bank lending behavior [J].
Berger, AN ;
Udell, GF .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION, 2004, 13 (04) :458-495
[5]  
Bikker J.A., 2005, J. Inter. Finan. Mark. Inst. Mon., V15, P141
[6]   Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models [J].
Blundell, R ;
Bond, S .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1998, 87 (01) :115-143
[7]   Credit risk drivers: Evaluating the contribution of firm level information and of macroeconomic dynamics [J].
Bonfim, Diana .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2009, 33 (02) :281-299
[8]   How good is the market at assessing bank fragility? A horse race between different indicators [J].
Bongini, P ;
Laeven, L ;
Majnoni, G .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2002, 26 (05) :1011-1028
[9]  
Borio C., 2001, PROCYCLICALITY FINAN, V1
[10]   BANK-HOLDING COMPANY MERGERS WITH NONBANK FINANCIAL FIRMS - EFFECTS ON THE RISK OF FAILURE [J].
BOYD, JH ;
GRAHAM, SL ;
HEWITT, RS .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 1993, 17 (01) :43-63