Expectation bubbles in a spin model of markets: Intermittency from frustration across scales

被引:140
作者
Bornholdt, S [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Kiel, Inst Theoret Phys, D-24098 Kiel, Germany
来源
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MODERN PHYSICS C | 2001年 / 12卷 / 05期
关键词
econophysics; dynamics of markets; statistical mechanics of spin models; order-disorder transitions; metastability; self-organization;
D O I
10.1142/S0129183101001845
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
A simple spin model is studied, motivated by the dynamics of traders in a market, where expectation bubbles and crashes occur. The dynamics is governed by interactions, which are frustrated across different scales: while ferromagnetic couplings connect each spin to its local neighborhood, an additional coupling relates each spin to the global magnetization. This new coupling is allowed to be anti-ferromagnetic. The resulting frustration causes a metastable dynamics with intermittency and phases of chaotic dynamics. The model reproduces main observations of real economic markets as power-law distributed returns and clustered volatility.
引用
收藏
页码:667 / 674
页数:8
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