Recurrent hyperinflations and learning

被引:128
作者
Marcet, A
Nicolini, JP
机构
[1] Univ Pompeu Fabra, Dept Econ & Business, Barcelona 08005, Spain
[2] Univ Torcuato Di Tella, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
关键词
D O I
10.1257/000282803322655400
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We use a model of boundedly rational learning to account for the observations of recurrent hyperinflations, in the 1980's. In a standard monetary model we replace the assumption of full rational expectations by a formal definition of quasi-rational learning. The model under learning matches some crucial stylized facts observed during the recurrent hyperinflations experienced by several countries in the 1980's remarkably well. We argue that, despite being a small departure from rational expectations, quasi-rational learning does not preclude falsifiability of the model, it does not violate reasonable rationality requirements, and it can be used for policy evaluation.
引用
收藏
页码:1476 / 1498
页数:23
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