Contribution of ocean, fossil fuel, land biosphere, and biomass burning carbon fluxes to seasonal and interannual variability in atmospheric CO2

被引:66
作者
Nevison, Cynthia D. [1 ]
Mahowald, Natalie M. [1 ]
Doney, Scott C. [2 ]
Lima, Ivan D. [2 ]
Van der Werf, Guido R. [3 ]
Randerson, James T. [4 ]
Baker, David F. [2 ]
Kasibhatla, Prasad [5 ]
McKinley, Galen A. [6 ]
机构
[1] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
[2] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Dept Marine Chem & Geochem, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[3] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Fac Earth & Life Sci, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[4] Univ Calif Irvine, Earth Syst Sci Dept, Irvine, CA 92697 USA
[5] Duke Univ, Nicolas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27708 USA
[6] Univ Wisconsin, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Madison, WI 53706 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2007JG000408
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Seasonal and interannual variability in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations was simulated using fluxes from fossil fuel, ocean and terrestrial biogeochemical models, and a tracer transport model with time-varying winds. The atmospheric CO2 variability resulting from these surface fluxes was compared to observations from 89 GLOBALVIEW monitoring stations. At northern hemisphere stations, the model simulations captured most of the observed seasonal cycle in atmospheric CO2, with the land tracer accounting for the majority of the signal. The ocean tracer was 3-6 months out of phase with the observed cycle at these stations and had a seasonal amplitude only similar to 10% on average of observed. Model and observed interannual CO2 growth anomalies were only moderately well correlated in the northern hemisphere ( R similar to 0.4-0.8), and more poorly correlated in the southern hemisphere ( R < 0.6). Land dominated the interannual variability (IAV) in the northern hemisphere, and biomass burning in particular accounted for much of the strong positive CO2 growth anomaly observed during the 1997-1998 El Nino event. The signals in atmospheric CO2 from the terrestrial biosphere extended throughout the southern hemisphere, but oceanic fluxes also exerted a strong influence there, accounting for roughly half of the IAV at many extratropical stations. However, the modeled ocean tracer was generally uncorrelated with observations in either hemisphere from 1979-2004, except during the weak El Nino/post-Pinatubo period of the early 1990s. During that time, model results suggested that the ocean may have accounted for 20-25% of the observed slowdown in the atmospheric CO2 growth rate.
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页数:21
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