A PANEL DATA APPROACH FOR PROGRAM EVALUATION: MEASURING THE BENEFITS OF POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION OF HONG KONG WITH MAINLAND CHINA

被引：253

作者：

Hsiao, Cheng ^{[1
,2
,4
]}

Ching, H. Steve ^{[1
]}

Wan, Shui Ki ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] City Univ Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

[2] Xiamen Univ, WISE, Xiamen, Peoples R China

[3] Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Econ, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

[4] Univ So Calif, Los Angeles, CA USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS | 2012年 / 27卷 / 05期

关键词：

FACTOR MODELS; MONETARY-POLICY; REGRESSION; INVESTMENT; VARIABLES; COUNTRY; NUMBER; REAL; TIME;

D O I：

10.1002/jae.1230

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We propose a simple-to-implement panel data method to evaluate the impacts of social policy. The basic idea is to exploit the dependence among cross-sectional units to construct the counterfactuals. The cross-sectional correlations are attributed to the presence of some (unobserved) common factors. However, instead of trying to estimate the unobserved factors, we propose to use observed data. We use a panel of 24 countries to evaluate the impact of political and economic integration of Hong Kong with mainland China. We find that the political integration hardly had any impact on the growth of the Hong Kong economy. However, the economic integration has raised Hong Kong's annual real GDP by about 4%. Copyright (c) 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

引用

页码：705 / 740

页数：36

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