Dynamic conditional correlation;
Business cycles synchronization;
Recession;
Globalization;
GROWTH;
MODELS;
D O I:
10.1016/j.econlet.2012.06.034
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
This paper examines the synchronization of business cycles across the G7 countries during US recessions since the 1870s. Using a dynamic measure of correlations, results depend on the globalization period under consideration. During the 2007-2009 recession, business cycles co-movements increased to unprecedented levels. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved,