关于颠覆性技术识别框架的探索

被引：111

作者：

黄鲁成

成雨

吴菲菲

苗红

李欣

机构：

[1] 北京工业大学经济与管理学院

来源：

科学学研究 | 2015年 / 33卷 / 05期

关键词：

颠覆性技术; 物种入侵模型; 集对分析; 识别;

D O I：

10.16192/j.cnki.1003-2053.2015.05.003

中图分类号：

U463.633-18 []; G306 [专利研究];

学科分类号：

080204 ; 082304 ; 1201 ; 1204 ;

摘要：

颠覆性技术遵循自下而上的性能轨道,以新技术属性集为依据引入新竞争平台,替代现有技术范式,改变企业技术竞争态势。对其进行早期识别和探测,将有利于企业及时调整技术创新战略,规避风险。现有的颠覆性技术识别研究多采用主观方法,而基于专利分析的客观分析方法尚未得到充分认识和应用。为解决上述问题,本文提出一个颠覆性技术的识别框架,该框架以专利数据为依据,以属性创新和改进的技术发展推动机制为基础,借鉴物种入侵模型和集对分析方法,通过计算新技术出现前后的属性集相似度,来对颠覆性强度值进行测度。最后,以德温特专利数据库中的汽车锂电池技术专利为实例对模型的有效性进行验证。

引用

页码：654 / 664

页数：11

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