基于风险厌恶的供应链订货时机分析

被引:6
作者
熊恒庆 [1 ,2 ]
黄勇 [1 ]
杨建仁 [1 ]
机构
[1] 景德镇陶瓷学院工商学院
[2] 华中科技大学管理学院
基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目;
关键词
订货时机; 订货延迟; 风险厌恶; 供应链协调;
D O I
10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2013.01.017
中图分类号
F224 [经济数学方法]; F274 [企业供销管理];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070104 ; 1201 ;
摘要
基于报童模型,在一个由风险厌恶型制造商和零售商组成的供应链中,分析了三种供应链订货时机:预先订货、延迟订货、柔性订货,并调查了风险厌恶对供应链的影响。不同于已有文献关于风险中性的假设,发现由于风险厌恶,在预先订货方式下零售商有最小化订货量的倾向,在延迟订货方式下制造商有最小化生产量的倾向;进一步的分析结果显示在一定条件下零售商将削减订货量至少一半,制造商利润减少至少一半。为此设计了特许费契约进行协调。认为提升企业信心、消除风险厌恶引起的不利影响,在经济萧条时有着非常重要的作用。
引用
收藏
页码:63 / 70
页数:8
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