Use of fuzzy numbers in project risk (criticality) assessment

被引:78
作者
Kuchta, Dorota [1 ]
机构
[1] Faculty of Computer Science and Industrial Engineering, Institute of Industrial Engineering and Management, Wroclaw University of Technology, ul. Smoluchowskiego 25, 50-370 Wroclaw, Poland
关键词
Decision making - Fuzzy sets - Risk management;
D O I
10.1016/S0263-7863(00)00022-3
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
We put forward a fuzzy way of measuring the criticality of project activities and of the whole project. In the proposed approach both the decision maker attitude and the project network structure are taken into account. The criticality measure obtained may serve as a measure of risk or of the supervision effort needed and can help in making the decision whether to accept or to reject the project. Its numerical implementation is as difficult as that of the classical CPM method. © 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd and IPMA. All rights reserved.
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页码:305 / 310
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