On Technical Analysis

被引:208
作者
Brown, David P. [1 ]
Jennings, Robert H. [1 ]
机构
[1] Indiana Univ, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1093/rfs/2.4.527
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Technical analysis, or the use of past prices to infer private information, has value in a model in which prices are not fully revealing and traders have rational conjectures about the relation between prices and signals. A two-period dynamic model of equilibrium is used to demonstrate that rational investors use historical prices in forming their demands and to illustrate the sensitivity of the value of technical analysis to changes in the values of the exogenous parameters.
引用
收藏
页码:527 / 551
页数:25
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