THE NUMERICAL-SIMULATION OF THE CLIMATIC-CHANGE CAUSED BY CO2 DOUBLING

The IAP two-level atmospheric general circulation model was coupled to a 60-m-deep mixed layer ocean model and a zero-layer thermodynamic model to simulate the climatic effects induced by a doubling of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. The global surface temperature is 1.75-degrees-C when CO2 is doubled. This value is lower than most of other results in the world, such as those of GFDL, NCAR, UKMO, GISS and OSU models. There are large regional and seasonal differences in the climatic change. Great warming is found in the Northern Hemisphere's high-latitude region and the Antarctica; and the warming in land areas is greater than in ocean areas, while the precipitation increases in high latitudes and tropical regions but decreases in subtropical regions. In both hemispheres, the warming is greater in winter than in other seasons. As for the changes in China, we find that the precipitation in southwestern and northern China greatly decreases in summer but increases in winter.